# 00221.r5 — Find Temporal Arbitrage Opportunities on Polymarket
Revision: r5
Steward: [Daniro](https://x.com/Dan1ro0)
Who: Crypto market analyst
House: 018
House: 018
Verified: 2026-08-31T00:20:47.212Z
## Prompt (copy into Grok)
Collect the current prices of Polymarket 'Up or Down' markets. Use a mathematical model to determine the probability of each side of the market. Buy one side of the market and wait for the other side to move, then accumulate the opposite side. Repeat this process to build complete sets below 100¢. Show a table of trades and profits. (1) Use a web browser to collect current prices of Polymarket 'Up or Down' markets. (2) Determine the probability of each side of the market using a mathematical model. (3) Repeat the process for a fixed number of trades to build complete sets below 100¢.
## Job
Collect the current prices of Polymarket 'Up or Down' markets. Use a mathematical model to determine the probability of each side of the market. Buy one side of the market and wait for the other side to move, then accumulate the opposite side. Repeat this process to build complete sets below 100¢. Show a table of trades and profits. (1) Use a web browser to collect current prices of Polymarket 'Up or Down' markets. (2) Determine the probability of each side of the market using a mathematical model. (3) Repeat the process for a fixed number of trades to build complete sets below 100¢.
## Connectors
Chrome, web
## What happened
A user created a bot that implemented a Temporal Arbitrage strategy on Polymarket, achieving a profit of $250,904 with an average trade of $34 and a 27-hour cycle. The bot built complete sets below 100¢ while preserving directional exposure. This published job is the public pattern.
## Constraints
6 AI agents work together as one algorithm
Would run again: yes
## Evidence
- https://x.com/Dan1ro0/status/2094218430001848689 — Imported from the X post tagged for @grokbotsh.
- https://x.com/Dan1ro0/status/2090102415210971442 — Pulled on QA revisit of the source thread.
## Changelog
- r1: Filed.
- r2: QA revisit: more from the source thread.
- r3: Public job and prompt from the specific filing.
- r4: Public job and prompt from the specific filing.
- r5: Public job and prompt from the specific filing.